Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.524541 0.580972 0.641798 0.712377 0.792195 0.879862 0.983713
2025-07-27 0.437042 0.515355 0.606183 0.719926 0.859409 1.025970 1.241549
2025-08-03 0.385131 0.473500 0.581165 0.723228 0.907576 1.141221 1.463782
2025-08-10 0.349592 0.444372 0.564512 0.729935 0.954875 1.254578 1.691779
2025-08-17 0.313239 0.409047 0.534467 0.713323 0.966185 1.317598 1.854989
2025-08-24 0.292397 0.391432 0.524997 0.721814 1.010488 1.428147 2.096668
2025-08-31 0.270750 0.370326 0.508148 0.717157 1.033854 1.508859 2.301260
2025-09-07 0.254478 0.355086 0.497744 0.720012 1.067356 1.606598 2.542912
2025-09-14 0.236512 0.335813 0.479629 0.709106 1.077689 1.667872 2.730525
2025-09-21 0.221548 0.319726 0.464764 0.701453 1.091667 1.735274 2.935581
2025-09-28 0.203505 0.297706 0.439201 0.674529 1.071177 1.742180 3.032113
2025-10-05 0.196469 0.291964 0.438195 0.686836 1.116950 1.866692 3.361131
2025-10-12 0.188819 0.284923 0.434884 0.695473 1.158001 1.988716 3.706144
2025-10-19 0.181565 0.278030 0.431309 0.703333 1.198424 2.114149 4.077256
2025-10-26 0.174029 0.270137 0.425441 0.706534 1.230332 2.226504 4.437465
2025-11-02 0.167736 0.263843 0.421724 0.713061 1.268766 2.355366 4.852773
2025-11-09 0.157940 0.251100 0.406187 0.696896 1.262058 2.392637 5.067469
2025-11-16 0.153044 0.246338 0.404059 0.705159 1.303720 2.533743 5.545844
2025-11-23 0.146434 0.238234 0.395522 0.700627 1.319145 2.620758 5.907678
2025-11-30 0.141433 0.232627 0.391036 0.703405 1.349610 2.743573 6.379238
2025-12-07 0.134790 0.223762 0.380121 0.692792 1.350943 2.801285 6.691640
2025-12-14 0.129047 0.216202 0.371147 0.685345 1.358298 2.873456 7.055097
2025-12-21 0.121098 0.204282 0.353454 0.659139 1.322512 2.840672 7.122883